Tuesday, January 10, 2006

The Inevitability of High Probability Events


There are some things that I know are going to happen: it will rain in the winter in Seattle, Liam will notice heavy construction equipment, Republicans will behave unethically, and so on. However, there is one high-probability event that I have mercifully avoided for years until yesterday morning—a flat tire on the way to work. I’ve had plenty of flat tires since I started bike commuting, but usually of the slow-leak variety that I notice as I’m getting ready to head for home. This is the first total blow-out I’ve experienced while actually on the road (and naturally, it happened during a pretty robust rainstorm). Fortunately I had a patch kit and pump with me, so I found a dry spot of concrete underneath an awning along Dexter Ave and fixed up the punctures in the tube—there were two! Hopefully I will be flat-free for another several years.

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